Marius Schober
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Trump Tariffs
I don’t believe that Trump uses the current tariffs as a negotiation leverage – at least not across the board. The U.S. will not go back to 0% or < 10% tariffs, because Republicans (JD Vance) will with absolute certainty lose re-election. Trump promised to revive…
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Corporate AI vs. Visionary People
BCG says that 83% of firms prioritize innovation, but only 3% feel able to execute. I ask: what’s the bigger flaw: overestimating corporate AI or underinvesting in people? Probably both. I see a trend where AI is seen as the cure-all. Instead of investing in visionary…
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Decentralization versus Authoritarianism
Erdoğan’s calculated elimination of Imamoglu through academic technicalities and alleged ties to PKK is not really an isolated Turkish case but an example of democracy’s global collapse. Yesterday, Germany rushed constitutional changes without proper scrutiny and with a majority that was already voted out of office,…
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Why the EU and U.S. Might Collapse
The Qing Dynasty, Ottoman Empire, and Rome were all civilizations stuck in a grim loop. Decline hit first: overstretch, corruption, and enemies pile up quietly. Then comes nostalgia: past glories are hyped up – Confucian order, Suleiman’s peak, Roman strength – as a hope to be…
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Remote Viewing: Deutsche Bundestagswahl
Without a lot of preparation I tried my very first remote viewing with the German election as a target. Below is a scanned version of my remote viewing session with a summary and possible interpretation of what I foresaw. 1. The Remote Viewing Session I became…
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The Era of Information Overload
One of the biggest problems of humanity is information overload. Think about how we used to get information just 50 years ago. We had to deliberately search for them. We had to engage in conversations, go to the library or bookshop to search relevant books or…
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Saliendo de las Limitaciones
Creo que nuestra comprensión de la realidad es incompleta y errónea. Por eso, nos movemos dentro de una fracción minúscula de posibilidades infinitas. Un sistema de IA general basado en el conocimiento pasado y presente solo puede explorar lo que es posible dentro de esa pequeña…
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Emerging from Limitations
I think we have an incomplete and false understanding of reality. Because of that, we are moving inside a tiny fraction of endless possibilities. An AGI system based on previous and current knowledge can only exploit what is possible within that tiny fraction. The missing link…
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The First Principles of a Post-AGI Business
OpenAI released its new o3 models and numerous people argue that this is in fact Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) – in other words, an AI system that is on par with human intelligence. Even if o3 is not yet AGI, the emphasis now lies on “yet,”…
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Trump: Rewiring Civilization
Donald Trump’s reelection is not just a political victory—it is the beginning of a seismic realignment of American power. Unshackled by the need for reelection and surrounded by a cadre of contrarian advisors, Trump stands ready to rewrite the rules of domestic governance, global trade, and…