Marius Schober

  • Emerging from Limitations

    I think we have an incomplete and false understanding of reality. Because of that, we are moving inside a tiny fraction of endless possibilities. An AGI system based on previous and current knowledge can only exploit what is possible within that tiny fraction. The missing link…

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  • The First Principles of a Post-AGI Business

    OpenAI released its new o3 models and numerous people argue that this is in fact Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) – in other words, an AI system that is on par with human intelligence. Even if o3 is not yet AGI, the emphasis now lies on “yet,”…

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  • Trump: Rewiring Civilization

    Donald Trump’s reelection is not just a political victory—it is the beginning of a seismic realignment of American power. Unshackled by the need for reelection and surrounded by a cadre of contrarian advisors, Trump stands ready to rewrite the rules of domestic governance, global trade, and…

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  • AI-to-AI Communication

    Nowadays, most emails I receive – including technical and legal ones – are undoubtedly written by ChatGPT. Which I’m okay with – but I find it rather funny that I now have to read what an AI has written only to input the context myself into…

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  • The Future Belongs to the Intuitive

    Everything looks as if the future belongs entirely to machines, where decisions will be driven solely by logic and data. This makes sense from a logical perspective. AI can already shift through terabytes of real-time data in seconds. It can identify patterns the human eye cannot…

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  • The Exploitation Behind Legalizing Organ Trade

    I recently saw a debate on whether organ trade and an organ market should be legal. Here’s my take on the issue. Yes, there’s a clear mismatch between supply and demand. But who would be the ones selling their organs? People in precarious situations, without the…

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  • Running Out of Our Circle

    Running in circles is an expression that is often used to express when no matter what we do, nothing changes. We run in a circle, always ending up where we started. Imagine the circle lines as boundaries, not physical boundaries but mental barriers. In our life,…

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  • Understanding: Human vs. Machine

    Whether we understand a text depends on several factors. First, do we recognize and understand the alphabet? Do we understand the language? Assuming both, we can read the words that are written. But this doesn’t mean we understand the text. Understanding what is written depends on…

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  • Government as an Investor?

    There is a real debate going on whether the German government should provide Lilium – a 9-year-old, publicly-listed money loosing eVTOL company, without a single successful realistic test-flight – a €150M loan. (It decided not to, good.) The real issue I see is that public funding…

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  • Fertility Rates and Real Estate

    Global fertility rates are plummeting. Countries like the U.S. (1.64), China, Japan, and Spain (all below 1.2) face drastic population reductions – up to 80% over three generations. South Korea’s rate of 0.7 could trigger a 96% decline. This is not only a demographic issue but…

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